116 Chapter 4 How is the future conceptualized? Probable and improbable Plausible Pluralistic With what implications for the present? Planning Building capacities Mobilizing Interrogating Performative 1 Assess probable futures in order to inform strategic policy planning to reduce futures risks and navigate future trajectories more reflexively (Poseidon) 2 Engage with probabilistic, plausibilistic and pluralistic futures in order to build capacity and mobilize stakeholders to reduce future risks and navigate futures more reflexively (Senses) 3 Assess probable and plausible futures in order to inform and build capacity for strategic policy planning to have more transformative futures while aiming at reducing risks (AgMIP – Representative Agricultural pathways) 4 Engage with plausibilistic and pluralistic futures in order to inform strategic policy planning to reduce and manage future risks, transform the food system towards a more desirable state, and have dialogue of political contestations. (Agrimonde-Terra Foresight) 5 Engage with probabilistic, plausibilistic and performative futures in order to build adaptive and reflexive capacities to reduce uncertainties (SUPat) 6 Explore plausibilistic futures in order to inform strategic policy planning and build adaptive capacities to reduce and manage risks, increase reflexivity within policy instruments, create more transformative futures (CCAFS) 7 Explore plausibilistic futures in order to provide information and measures for adaptive policy development to reduce future risks (LEAP) Descriptions of anticipation processes by the participants: ©UU GEO 9995 1 4 5 6 3 2 7 Areas engaged with Areas mentioned once Areas not engaged with Figure 4.2. Examples of hybrid approaches to anticipatory governance in the Foresight4Food initiative. The blocks represent a selection of anticipation processes mapped onto the framework based on how participants described the conception(s) of the future (horizontal axis) and implications for the present (vertical axis). The numbers and colors correspond with the narratives to the right. The striped sections illustrate future conceptions and implications that were not mentioned or only once. 4.5. Discussion and conclusions In this article, we examined anticipation processes in the food systems domain - a domain where sustainability transformations are urgently needed. We analyzed a global case study on food systems foresight through an analytical framework on anticipatory governance that identifies four different approaches (Muiderman et al., 2020). The study represents the first global, empirical analysis of different assumptions about the future and their connections to the steering of sustainability transformations across a network of anticipation projects. Two key insights emerge from the analysis. In this section, we discuss these insights and connect our findings to the analytical framework on transformations (Feola, 2015) to link the four approaches framework to different conceptualizations of transformation.
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